Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 17.148467 19.886521 22.857590 26.312926 30.212520 34.468571 39.456336
2025-08-03 12.537637 16.299942 20.786254 26.490204 33.505190 41.803855 52.312638
2025-08-10 9.542322 13.613359 18.848634 25.985001 35.356391 47.129448 62.906544
2025-08-17 7.494351 11.590735 17.211328 25.335404 36.597152 51.451792 72.279389
2025-08-24 5.988711 9.970835 15.763835 24.584089 37.402414 55.034252 80.723528
2025-08-31 4.766574 8.515888 14.280561 23.493233 37.475090 57.451844 87.576089
2025-09-07 4.167422 7.912956 13.950807 24.002160 39.817278 63.130507 99.285210
2025-09-14 3.659427 7.364057 13.609081 24.409231 41.977950 68.626432 111.016778
2025-09-21 3.100612 6.623527 12.838933 24.008116 42.789418 72.090679 119.873675
2025-09-28 2.605252 5.908056 12.004161 23.378209 43.128059 74.784544 127.645101
2025-10-05 2.499221 5.928042 12.473309 25.028531 47.347137 83.829326 145.796416
2025-10-12 2.359259 5.853837 12.751772 26.350150 51.084937 92.294996 163.457861
2025-10-19 2.123296 5.565531 12.640736 27.052494 53.991581 99.894476 180.710044
2025-10-26 1.850833 5.151771 12.240967 27.197158 55.976214 106.190789 196.408983
2025-11-02 1.560443 4.632444 11.544460 26.673791 56.675774 110.318378 208.717423
2025-11-09 1.306625 4.141902 10.827662 26.008129 57.018108 113.802696 220.087094
2025-11-16 1.087592 3.686062 10.110198 25.239311 57.062559 116.714361 230.577168
2025-11-23 0.884685 3.219337 9.285332 24.123172 56.287177 118.031739 238.255304
2025-11-30 0.798874 3.071382 9.204673 24.643891 58.875405 125.765604 257.939994
2025-12-07 0.718177 2.918464 9.086531 25.060373 61.270712 133.263866 277.570851
2025-12-14 0.613040 2.656839 8.641677 24.649983 61.857742 137.285798 290.912044
2025-12-21 0.514855 2.388136 8.129008 24.005470 61.863606 140.141328 302.167486
2025-12-28 0.507024 2.444203 8.534679 25.693953 67.194966 153.943551 335.101276